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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (4.8 off)
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mack 36 9-13 4-7 1-1 3 1 2 2 0 23 18 -
R. Sallie 34 1-9 0-4 3-4 6 4 2 0 1 5 7 -
W. Kemp 34 2-8 1-3 4-4 0 3 4 0 2 9 6 -
E. Williams 33 3-12 2-8 7-7 0 4 1 0 2 15 6 -
W. Witherspoon 19 5-12 1-3 3-3 6 0 0 0 2 14 6 -
P. Henderson-Niles 16 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
W. Coleman 16 0-2 0-0 4-4 4 0 3 1 0 4 10 -
D. Stephens 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 33 2-11 0-5 9-10 3 3 0 0 4 13 4 -
T. Vinson 31 8-13 0-1 5-7 9 0 0 0 1 21 16 -
G. Correia 31 2-7 2-5 1-2 5 3 2 0 4 7 6 -
A. Gurley 29 5-8 0-0 4-5 6 1 1 0 4 14 10 -
S. Carter 25 4-5 0-0 0-1 8 1 1 2 3 8 12 -
D. Gibbs 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Carter 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 2 -
H. Bailey 9 2-2 0-0 1-7 5 0 0 1 0 5 9 -
M. Hill 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Farrell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter