Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Patterson | 36 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Odem | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Taylor | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. McKeither | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Saffore | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Watson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Early | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Bell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Hampton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Miles | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Easley | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Jenkins | 27 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| I. Canaan | 24 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. McClain | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| I. Aska | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Poole | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter