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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Houston Christian Huskies Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 2.0% 98.0% -
Bradley-Terry 6.5% 93.5% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +22.9 (14.1 off)

Actual: Boise State Broncos +37 (96-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dixon 28 4-12 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
W. Preadom 25 2-11 0-0 2-4 7 3 1 0 0 6 6 -
A. Gonzalez 24 4-12 0-2 3-4 3 0 1 0 4 11 -1 -
R. Boswell 21 2-7 0-0 3-6 7 0 1 2 0 7 10 -
J. Robertson 17 1-5 0-2 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
M. Flaherty 17 0-3 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 4 2 1 -
M. Moss 16 1-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
K. Roy 15 4-9 2-5 2-3 2 0 2 0 0 12 7 -
F. Hinnenkamp 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Echols 12 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lewis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Daniels 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 30 5-10 3-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 15 8 -
P. Noonan 23 4-10 2-8 1-2 8 2 0 1 2 11 10 -
L. Anderson 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 2 2 -
D. Montreal 21 8-14 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 0 1 16 14 -
I. Okoye 20 4-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 3 10 12 -
Z. Moritz 20 5-9 0-0 0-2 12 0 0 0 0 10 13 -
W. Perryman 18 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
R. Arnold 16 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 5 5 -
K. Cunningham 13 3-4 0-0 3-3 3 2 3 0 0 9 13 -
J. Salzwedel 8 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Young 7 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
N. Larsen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter