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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Log Adjusted 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 38 6-12 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 12 11 -
D. McCamey 37 8-14 2-5 3-4 3 5 0 0 2 21 13 -
D.J. Richardson 36 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 6 4 -
M. Tisdale 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 2 10 5 -
B. Cole 17 3-5 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 9 11 -
D. Keller 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Paul 15 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 4 1 -
J. Jordan 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Griffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Legion 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ware 34 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 7 5 -
R. McPhee 32 5-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 12 8 -
T. Thompkins 29 7-16 0-3 7-10 7 2 2 1 2 21 15 -
T. Leslie 24 7-11 0-0 3-4 3 1 1 2 3 17 10 -
A. Jackson 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 4 6 7 -
J. Price 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 0 7 -
D. Zlovaric 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Barnes 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 1 3 4 -
D. Mayfield 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
V. Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
E. Anyaorah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter