Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sypkens | 38 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Calegari | 36 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Harden | 34 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| R. Howley | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Malik | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Floyd | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 35 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Ladd | 35 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| G. Smith | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| B. Sperling | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| S. Shepp | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Seay | 17 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Golubovic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter