Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +48 (90-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Donahue | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Keeler | 29 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | - |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Hanson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Odister | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Taylor | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Lewis | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Darling | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Royer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bohannon | 27 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Hughes | 26 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| J. Taylor | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Nankivil | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Leuer | 23 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| R. Wilson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Evans | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Jarmusz | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Bruesewitz | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Berggren | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Valentyn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.D. Wise | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Fahey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Gavinski | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Markolf | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter