Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Waller | 36 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B. Knox | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Reed | 29 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| E. Ross | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Lett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Malone | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Singleton | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Alabi | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 31 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 27 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Snaer | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Reid | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| L. Loucks | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| X. Gibson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Shannon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter