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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.6 โœ— (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 5.6% 94.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.0% 75.0% - โœ—

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -5 (57-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McCormack 33 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 2 0 -
N. Hendra 32 6-10 3-7 2-3 3 2 0 0 1 17 11 -
S. Lumpkins 29 3-10 0-0 2-4 14 0 0 2 0 8 14 -
V. Moldoveanu 28 8-15 5-10 5-6 8 4 1 0 2 26 22 -
R. Grafft 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Jolivette 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 2 2 -
D. Munoz 23 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
S. Luptak 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Walker 36 4-11 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 13 8 -
D. Hill 32 7-13 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 1 1 16 9 -
M. Stovall 28 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 4 5 -
M. Bizoukas 27 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 7 12 -
J. Kelly 27 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 4 4 -
E. Wallace 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 8 8 -
M. Stula 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Faber 8 2-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
T. Freeland 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Drew 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Rogers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter