Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubin | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Phillips | 30 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Clark | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Lewis | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Mishler | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bassett | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Cooper | 31 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| D. Washington | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Freeman | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. van Kempen | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Coleman | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Kinney | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Keely | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| I. Baltic | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Adedipe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. McKinley | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter