Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +39 (96-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Jones | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Larson | 28 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Lepley | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Wallace | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Flores | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Dunn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Rogers | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hobson | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R. Martinez | 23 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| N. Garth | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. McDonald | 22 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Gary | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| W. Brown | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Fenton | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Dennis | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Adams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter