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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 1.3% 98.7% -
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% -
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 20.1% 79.9% -
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +39 (96-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 32 4-12 0-2 4-5 1 6 2 0 3 12 6 -
D. Jones 29 4-9 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
N. Larson 28 2-10 1-7 0-0 6 2 1 2 5 5 1 -
S. Johannsen 24 7-9 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
J. Olubuyi 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Saldivar 21 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
J. Lepley 16 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
R. Wallace 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Flores 7 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Dunn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Rogers 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hobson 28 3-9 2-5 1-2 5 9 1 0 2 9 13 -
R. Martinez 23 6-9 4-6 1-2 4 3 2 1 0 17 18 -
N. Garth 22 2-8 1-5 3-4 1 3 2 0 0 8 6 -
P. McDonald 22 4-8 4-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 14 12 -
D. Gary 20 5-6 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 9 -
A.J. Hardeman 20 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 4 0 10 16 -
W. Brown 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 4 7 -
J. Fenton 18 3-6 2-4 3-5 2 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
C. Dennis 16 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
C. Adams 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter