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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Montana State-Northern Lights Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.3% 91.7% -
Margin 1.0% 99.0% +25.4 (11.4 off)

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +14 (57-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State-Northern Lights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dennis 35 5-15 3-9 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 13 5 -
C. Greenland 34 4-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 8 5 -
E. Tisby 29 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 3 0 2 6 5 -
A. Sellars 26 1-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 3 1 1 3 4 -
B. Santiago 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 33 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 2 7 6 -
B. Qvale 32 9-11 0-0 5-5 9 0 0 4 1 23 24 -
R. Staudacher 27 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Taylor 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 3 2 -
J. McGillis 24 5-9 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 10 8 -
W. Cherry 19 1-2 0-1 1-4 4 3 1 0 1 3 8 -
R. Young 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
D. Selvig 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 1 3 0 3 0 9 -
M. Ward 8 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
V. Banny 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Stockton 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter