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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Belmont Bruins Saint Louis Billikens Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Clark 29 3-13 0-2 3-3 6 3 0 0 3 9 2 -
J. Campbell 28 2-4 2-2 1-2 3 1 2 1 3 7 7 -
K. Belcher 25 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 9 3 -
K. Johnson 24 4-6 0-1 3-4 5 4 0 0 5 11 9 -
M. Hedgepeth 22 5-11 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 4 13 4 -
J. House 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Hanlen 20 1-1 0-0 6-6 3 1 0 0 0 8 11 -
S. Saunders 14 2-6 0-0 4-8 5 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
B. Baker 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Rice 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Dejworek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Conklin 34 3-8 0-0 7-14 9 2 0 0 2 13 14 -
C. Salecich 32 1-6 0-3 4-4 4 1 0 1 3 6 3 -
K. Mitchell 28 7-12 2-3 4-4 3 1 2 0 2 20 12 -
K. Cassity 26 1-7 1-6 2-2 0 3 3 0 2 5 2 -
C. Remekun 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 6 1 2 9 -
W. Reed 20 7-10 0-0 2-5 9 0 1 3 1 16 18 -
J. Jordan 18 2-4 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
F. John 16 2-6 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Smith 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter