Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -18 (59-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jasper | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Willis | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Stanback | 21 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Wallace | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Marshall | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Santee | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Massamba | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Hanni | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Norman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Martinez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker | 39 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| R. Brimley | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Friel | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -4 | - |
| M. Massey | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Nielson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Heuir | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Weirick | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Allen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Byrd | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter