Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Calegari | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Howley | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Welch | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 32 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 24 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Floyd | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Malik | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Medlock | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Green | 32 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Fields | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Mann | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Shiller | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Trotter | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| A. Zimmermann | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| E. Bullock | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Harris | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Daian | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ebersole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Abraham | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter