Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Stephenson | 42 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| D. Vaughn | 42 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Y. Gates | 40 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Wright | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Bishop | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Davis | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilks | 14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Dixon | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Toyloy | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Thomas | 7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Parker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. McClain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway | 42 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 11-11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| J. Love | 41 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | - |
| J. Crawford | 38 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Lyons | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Jackson | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Frease | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. McLean | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. Redford | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Taylor | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter