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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Valparaiso Beacons Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (31.6 off)
Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +32 (81-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dressler 34 4-8 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 0 3 9 8 -
J. Barnett 30 0-5 0-3 6-6 0 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
L. Bastfield 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 -3 -
S. Albrecht 23 2-5 1-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -2 -
J. Shunnar 22 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 1 -
M. Griffin 20 4-8 0-0 1-4 3 3 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Anyijong 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 6 7 -
I. Salter 14 1-1 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
J. Freelove 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Lo 6 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wood 28 5-10 1-3 2-4 5 6 1 0 3 13 12 -
T. Kurth 27 1-1 1-1 1-3 4 2 1 0 0 4 10 -
C. Johnson 26 7-10 0-0 1-3 9 1 3 1 0 15 19 -
H. Little 24 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
B. McPherson 24 5-13 3-8 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 15 5 -
M. Kenney 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
M. Rogers 15 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
C. Witt 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
R. Broekhoff 8 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
C. Halvorsen 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
M. Milosevic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
N. Shelton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter