Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 34 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Meo | 24 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Veteto | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Gordon | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. McMullan | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Hampton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. LoBue | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 38 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Jones | 30 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| N. Larson | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Wallace | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Lepley | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter