Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nelson | 37 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| T. Lewis | 36 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| D. Williamson | 35 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Edwards | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| R. Garrison | 32 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Cooley | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Gillette | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubin | 35 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Phillips | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 31 | 5-18 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| K. Thornton | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| J. Clark | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Lewis | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter