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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brenton 30 2-5 0-1 2-4 12 0 2 0 0 6 15 -
E. Castellanos 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 1 1 4 8 -
M. El-Amin 29 5-16 2-8 6-6 2 1 1 0 1 18 5 -
C. Martin 25 4-12 0-2 3-5 4 2 1 0 0 11 6 -
D. Joyner 25 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 8 6 -
B. Dougher 23 4-10 3-9 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 13 5 -
A. Goba 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 1 4 -
D. Carter 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
P. Preboye 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
M. Rouse 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rolls 36 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 9 6 -
Y. Gyawu 35 6-9 0-1 3-5 3 3 0 0 0 15 12 -
B. Jonson 34 2-9 1-4 2-4 6 2 0 0 5 7 1 -
K. Roemer 31 6-14 3-9 3-4 6 0 4 1 3 18 12 -
A. Hill 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
B. James 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
N. Pascale 12 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
J. Hoban 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
S. Melville 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Bogdanovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Marfurt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter