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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.4% 39.6% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Buford 40 7-12 0-1 6-7 7 3 2 1 4 20 17 -
J. Diebler 40 2-7 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 7 5 -
D. Lighty 38 6-14 1-4 3-6 7 3 0 1 3 16 10 -
D. Lauderdale 29 6-7 0-0 0-3 4 0 2 2 0 12 13 -
J. Simmons 26 4-10 3-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 11 7 -
P.J. Hill 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Madsen 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 0 0 4 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Hayward 39 9-16 3-6 3-3 8 0 0 0 3 24 13 -
W. Veasley 35 4-9 3-5 4-5 10 3 2 1 2 15 20 -
R. Nored 33 3-5 0-2 2-4 4 4 3 0 1 8 13 -
S. Mack 30 4-10 2-6 2-4 3 5 0 1 2 12 9 -
M. Howard 30 3-12 0-0 7-8 6 2 0 0 2 13 7 -
Z. Hahn 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
S. Vanzant 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Jukes 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Butcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter