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2009-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 2.1% 97.9% -
Bradley-Terry 4.5% 95.5% -
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +34.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Pope 0 1-8 -1 - 5 1 1 2 -1
M. Roundtree 0 5-10 -1 2-3 3 1 2 1 12 7
S. Vaitkute 0 4-7 - 2-2 3 10 6
D. Hudson 0 4-6 -1 9-10 7 7 2 10 17 17
M. Burnett 0 1-5 -2 - 1 2 -4

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
I. Lucas 0 5-11 3-7 5-6 9 5 4 3 18 22
C. DeGraffenreid 0 5-11 -1 9-9 8 3 1 5 19 15
W. Rolle 0 1-6 - 2-2 2 1 1 1 4 1
C. Shegog 0 4-5 - - 5 1 8 9
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 4-10 -1 -1 3 2 8 -1

* = starter