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2009-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 2.1% 97.9% -
Bradley-Terry 4.5% 95.5% -
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +34.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Pope 0 1-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Roundtree 0 5-10 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 2 1 12 7 -
S. Vaitkute 0 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
D. Hudson 0 4-6 0-1 9-10 7 7 2 0 10 17 17 -
M. Burnett 0 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Lucas 0 5-11 3-7 5-6 9 5 4 0 3 18 22 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 5-11 0-1 9-9 8 3 1 0 5 19 15 -
W. Rolle 0 1-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 1 -
C. Shegog 0 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 4-10 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -

* = starter