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2009-12-13

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina A&T Aggies Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 3.4% 96.6% -
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.4 (2.6 off)
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +25 (90-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Alston 31 3-14 0-5 6-6 3 5 0 0 2 12 4 -
R. Johnson 29 4-10 4-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
T. Coleman 29 5-7 0-0 6-9 10 1 0 3 0 16 23 -
N. Simpson 25 2-12 2-8 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 -3 -
J. Williams 21 0-4 0-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. Hill 19 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -1 -
J. Porter 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 2 3 4 -
A. Witter 15 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
D. Upchurch 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Powell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
R.J. Buck 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 34 6-13 5-11 2-2 5 8 2 0 1 19 20 -
J. Nash 32 3-7 2-5 2-2 5 5 2 1 3 10 13 -
L. Mirkovic 29 1-4 0-1 1-1 8 3 1 1 1 3 11 -
J. Shurna 29 1-10 0-7 4-6 10 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
D. Crawford 25 12-17 8-13 3-4 5 3 0 2 0 35 28 -
A. Marcotullio 15 3-5 3-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
I. Peljusic 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Capocci 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Rowley 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
R. Hearn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Fruendt 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter