Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker | 39 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| R. Brimley | 32 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Nielson | 29 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Massey | 29 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Heuir | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Weirick | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Friel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hansen | 35 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| F. Session | 27 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Lillard | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Panos | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Hughey | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Bullinger | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Mahoney | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Morris | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| M. Washington | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Noble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter