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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% +4.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +8 (65-57). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Anderson 40 9-19 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 18 5 -
D. Gonzalvez 37 7-13 3-7 2-4 5 2 2 1 2 19 14 -
D. Geriot 36 4-13 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 11 1 -
Ryan Butler 35 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Justin Harper 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 7 3 -
Darrius Garrett 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
Kevin Smith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Duinker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Martel 3 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Robbins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rodriguez 35 1-4 0-1 5-6 2 5 1 0 2 7 9 -
B. Burgess 29 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
T.J. Gwynn 28 6-10 1-3 7-9 7 2 0 0 1 20 18 -
B. Rozzell 26 3-7 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
Larry Sanders 25 5-9 0-2 2-5 13 0 1 5 2 12 20 -
E. Nixon 24 1-5 0-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Gavin 14 0-3 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Saintil 10 2-2 0-0 3-3 2 2 2 2 1 7 12 -
D. Theus 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Pishchalnikov 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter