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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -15 (80-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 37 6-12 3-8 7-8 2 9 0 0 3 22 18 -
C. Kelly 33 3-5 0-0 7-7 2 0 0 2 4 13 8 -
J. Pullen 31 10-16 7-10 1-2 6 1 1 0 3 28 17 -
J. Samuels 21 3-4 1-1 7-10 6 0 1 1 5 14 13 -
C. Merriewether 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 1 7 -
D. Sutton 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 3 1 0 0 7 8 -
M. Irving 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
L. Colon 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 1 8 -
W. Judge 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. McGruder 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Henriquez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
N. Russell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Marshall 27 3-9 0-2 5-6 0 1 1 0 3 11 1 -
T. Willis 27 5-7 3-5 4-4 3 2 0 0 3 17 12 -
C. Stanback 26 5-8 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 1 2 14 9 -
K. Wallace 23 2-6 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
O. Bellfield 20 5-9 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 13 8 -
D. Jasper 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 5 3 0 2 0 6 -
D. Santee 16 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 0 9 10 -
J. Hawkins 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 0 -
M. Shaw 15 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 1 1 5 5 -
B. Massamba 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
S. Jones Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter