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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Marian Knights Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.2 (7.8 off)

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marian Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dickerson 26 5-9 0-0 5-7 4 0 0 0 2 15 8 -
M. Allee 26 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 2 1 1 2 5 -
M. Fiely 25 4-13 2-6 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
J. Tucker 20 2-9 1-6 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 6 -2 -
J. Wheeler 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fraley 25 3-5 0-0 4-5 10 1 0 2 2 10 16 -
C. Reaves 22 4-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
C. Brown 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 0 8 14 -
A. Campbell 21 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
M. Williams 21 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 2 1 10 13 -
J. Blake 20 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
W. Channels 19 3-7 1-2 1-4 1 0 1 0 2 8 1 -
T. Caldwell 19 4-5 0-0 3-3 1 3 1 0 3 11 8 -
E. Mosley 15 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 3 2 -
D. Roberson 14 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 3 0 5 9 -
C. Wood 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter