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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (21.5 off)
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -

Actual: Pacific Tigers +30 (79-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Selling 27 4-11 0-3 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 8 4 -
J. Dickson 25 3-10 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 1 2 7 3 -
S. Toles-Bey 23 2-9 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
D. Bjegovic 22 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
J. Eller 21 0-3 0-0 4-8 6 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
A. Flaggs 20 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Marcial 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Stigall 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
J. Malloy 10 2-4 1-2 1-1 0 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Daniel 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
D. Lopez 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 2 2 -
B. Johnstin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 22 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 5 0 1 1 7 13 -
D. Young 22 4-10 4-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 12 7 -
A. Huddleston 21 3-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 3 0 1 9 7 -
P. Eveland 21 3-6 2-2 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 9 8 -
S. Willard 18 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 0 2 10 12 -
L. Neufville 18 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Nunnally 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
J. Ford 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 0 4 -
N. Williams 13 3-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 2 3 0 8 12 -
R. Edwards 10 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
S. Lamar 9 1-4 0-1 2-3 1 3 1 0 2 4 3 -
E. Lacerda 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Turner 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
N. Peterson 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter