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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Washington State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -

Actual: Washington State Cougars +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 38 2-8 0-1 3-4 4 6 3 0 3 7 9 -
M. Lyons 31 10-15 2-4 3-3 3 2 0 0 1 25 14 -
T. Fletcher 29 5-7 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 13 12 -
T. Fow 28 3-7 1-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
M. McLain 24 5-9 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
T. Broekhuis 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 3 5 -
T. Stewart 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
A. Merriex 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Bohannon 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 34 6-13 3-6 4-6 8 1 2 0 2 19 15 -
R. Moore 28 4-6 1-3 7-7 2 10 0 0 3 16 19 -
C. Enquist 23 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
M. Harthun 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 6 6 -
N. Koprivica 20 3-7 0-2 2-3 11 1 0 1 0 8 14 -
M. Capers 20 5-6 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
D. Casto 17 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 3 3 2 -
B. Motum 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
X. Thames 12 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Lodwick 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter