Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | +18.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +33 (87-54). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rybak * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| John Bowman * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Uriel Segura * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tony Bishop * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 14 | 0-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ryan White | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Emmanuel Bidias a Moute | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Hale | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Roshun Jackson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Sloan | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Damion James * | 23 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Justin Mason * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dogus Balbay * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 26 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J'Covan Brown | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Hill | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter