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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.3% 34.7% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 82.0% 18.0% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Log Adjusted 96.6% 3.4% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (73-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wall 39 4-11 1-2 2-4 7 8 1 0 1 11 15 -
P. Patterson 38 9-17 0-0 1-4 11 1 0 0 1 19 13 -
E. Bledsoe 30 8-10 4-5 3-4 1 1 1 1 6 23 11 -
D. Orton 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
D. Miller 17 2-7 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 1 0 7 8 -
D. Cousins 16 5-8 0-0 4-5 8 1 1 3 2 14 17 -
D. Dodson 16 4-8 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
R. Harris 15 2-3 0-1 0-1 6 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
P. Stevenson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 -
J. Harrellson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Liggins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Creek 32 9-14 5-8 8-8 1 1 2 0 1 31 20 -
J. Rivers 27 3-9 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 1 1 6 8 -
D. Elston 23 2-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 4 5 -
V. Jones III 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 6 2 -
D. Dumes 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 5 7 -
T. Pritchard 20 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Watford 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 7 0 -
J. Hulls 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
B. Capobianco 14 2-3 0-0 0-5 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Bawa 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Jobe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Gambles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Moore 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Finkelmeier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Barnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter