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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 36 5-14 0-2 9-12 1 3 1 0 1 19 9 -
R. Staudacher 34 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 0 -
D. Selvig 30 5-8 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 2 10 12 -
W. Cherry 25 4-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 5 0 3 8 5 -
J. McGillis 21 3-8 1-1 3-4 5 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
M. Taylor 18 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
M. Ward 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
V. Banny 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Stockton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Young 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 38 5-8 3-4 5-9 5 2 0 0 1 18 16 -
A. Nigon 34 6-9 4-7 1-2 2 1 2 1 2 17 12 -
A. Ogide 33 4-9 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 9 8 -
P. Hornung 24 1-1 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 3 3 9 -
T. Franklin 22 4-7 0-0 3-7 3 0 0 0 3 11 4 -
T. Busch 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
G. Smith 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
A. Dunn 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Bocar Ba 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Delbene 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter