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2009-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 4.1% 95.9% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (11.2 off)
Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Monroe 38 2-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 4 4 3 -
R. Little 36 1-5 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Morgan 32 4-15 0-0 5-8 6 2 2 0 3 13 5 -
B. Gilchrest 29 6-14 0-2 2-5 3 1 6 0 0 14 10 -
A. Kilpatrick 29 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 8 6 -
M. Lacey 18 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 8 1 -
C. Tatum 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
D. Carson 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
S. Baldwin 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 40 5-13 3-8 6-8 2 3 2 0 5 19 8 -
N. Vucevic 39 3-6 0-0 2-4 9 4 2 5 3 8 19 -
A. Stepheson 38 8-11 0-0 0-3 13 0 0 4 3 16 19 -
M. Johnson 37 4-12 0-1 2-6 5 2 4 2 2 10 9 -
D. Smith 23 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Simmons 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
D. Rozitis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
E. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter