Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -18 (54-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 37 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Varnado | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| D. Bost | 34 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Johnson | 31 | 12-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 20 | - |
| K. Augustus | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| P. Turner | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Benock | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Osby | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Lewis | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lee | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Roll | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| N. Dragovic | 29 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| R. Nelson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Anderson | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Honeycutt | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Morgan | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Lane | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Keefe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Moser | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Trapani | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter