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2009-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 (4.7 off)

Actual: UMass Minutemen +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Loyd 34 1-4 1-3 0-2 8 4 0 0 1 3 10 -
A. Perkins 31 2-9 0-1 1-2 0 4 0 0 1 5 -1 -
T. Young-Canty 29 5-12 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 11 2 -
G. Akpele 28 5-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 11 9 -
D. Qualls 25 3-9 1-5 0-2 2 2 2 0 2 7 2 -
M. Wilkerson 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
T. Bryson 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
P. Duckett 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Saint-Gelais 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Correia 33 4-10 3-7 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 11 10 -
A. Gurley 31 4-14 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 9 -2 -
D. Gibbs 29 3-6 0-2 0-2 2 6 3 1 1 6 11 -
T. Vinson 28 7-12 0-4 6-9 11 1 1 1 1 20 21 -
S. Carter 21 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 4 0 6 10 -
S. Carter 16 4-7 0-1 3-4 9 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
H. Bailey 13 4-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Farrell 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 10 2 2 2 0 6 18 -
M. Hill 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Lang 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Mongo 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter