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2009-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa State Cyclones Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 40 6-14 4-8 4-6 2 3 0 0 2 20 9 -
C. Payne 37 6-10 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 15 8 -
J. Cole 35 6-9 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 0 4 16 8 -
A. Tucker 31 3-13 2-10 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 8 3 -
B. Cougill 24 5-5 2-2 0-0 10 0 0 0 2 12 15 -
E. May 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bawinkel 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Fuller 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Brommer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brackins 36 9-13 4-5 6-8 8 3 1 4 0 28 31 -
M. Gilstrap 35 5-11 0-2 3-4 10 3 2 1 2 13 16 -
D. Garrett 29 2-5 0-0 4-6 0 5 1 0 4 8 5 -
L. Staiger 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Hamilton 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 4 -
S. Christopherson 18 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
L. Dendy 13 4-5 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 8 6 -
C. Colvin 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 2 -
C. Boozer 7 0-1 0-1 4-6 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Vanderbeken 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L.A. Pomlee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter