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2009-12-10

Model Predictions

Model DePaul Blue Demons Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +31 (76-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Walker 36 5-21 2-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 12 -4 -
D. Hill 29 3-9 1-1 0-2 4 0 1 1 2 7 2 -
E. Wallace 27 7-16 0-0 1-5 8 0 3 0 3 15 7 -
J. Kelly 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 3 4 -
M. Bizoukas 23 1-4 0-1 3-3 5 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Stovall 16 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Stula 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Faber 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Siggins 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Rogers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Freeland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Belcaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost 30 1-6 1-4 1-2 3 4 1 1 5 4 2 -
B. Stewart 30 3-10 2-4 4-5 3 2 1 0 0 12 8 -
J. Varnado 26 4-5 0-0 4-6 14 0 1 3 2 12 23 -
R. Johnson 22 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 14 8 -
P. Turner 20 1-6 0-4 0-0 5 5 2 1 1 2 8 -
R. Benock 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
K. Augustus 17 3-4 2-3 3-3 3 0 0 1 2 11 9 -
R. Osby 17 4-9 1-3 4-4 7 1 0 0 0 13 12 -
W. Lewis 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
T. Luczak 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Price 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Parker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter