Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +25 (76-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 29 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Navarre | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| E. Rush | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Howard | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Brown | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Louff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallie | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| W. Kemp | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams | 29 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Mack | 24 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| P. Henderson-Niles | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| W. Coleman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Stephens | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Barham | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Laird | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacques | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Holt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Foster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter