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2009-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Oakland Golden Grizzlies Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 8.8% 91.2% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.4 (10.6 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +31 (88-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 36 4-11 1-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 4 9 2 -
K. Benson 34 7-15 0-0 7-7 11 0 2 1 0 21 20 -
D. Nelson 28 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
W. Hudson 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 4 5 -
L. Wright 23 2-10 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 5 -7 -
B. Cushingberry 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
L. Eackles 12 1-4 1-3 1-4 2 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
D. Valentine 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
I. Milutinovic 8 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Thames 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Maynard 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Kast 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 28 7-11 2-2 3-4 0 4 2 0 1 19 13 -
R. Morgan 27 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 3 3 0 1 4 9 -
K. Lucious 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 1 2 7 6 -
D. Green 20 9-11 0-0 1-1 12 1 1 0 3 19 19 -
D. Summers 20 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Roe 19 5-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
C. Allen 16 3-8 1-5 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Nix 12 2-3 0-0 1-3 3 1 3 1 0 5 10 -
G. Sherman 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Thornton 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
I. Dahlman 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Herzog 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Kebler 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
J. Crandell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter