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2009-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 33 1-10 0-4 10-11 3 3 2 0 4 12 6 -
A. Burks 31 9-14 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 2 22 13 -
A. Dufault 25 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
M. Relphorde 25 2-9 0-5 4-5 5 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Thorne II 24 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 5 3 -
N. Tomlinson 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 3 1 -
K. Hornbuckle 16 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
S. Harris-Tunks 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
L. Knutson 11 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
C. Crawford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 37 5-13 2-6 9-11 5 1 0 1 3 21 12 -
A. Ogide 34 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 3 2 13 16 -
T. Franklin 34 7-9 0-0 8-10 10 0 2 1 1 22 25 -
T. Busch 28 0-3 0-0 5-8 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Nigon 22 2-8 1-5 4-4 4 3 4 1 2 9 11 -
G. Smith 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 6 1 -
A. Dunn 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Hornung 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 0 6 -
M. Bocar Ba 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter