Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.