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2009-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 38 7-10 1-1 10-12 3 4 0 0 2 25 20 -
K. Wright 31 9-14 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 1 3 21 9 -
C. Webster 31 1-6 1-3 3-4 4 2 2 0 4 6 4 -
B. Curry 26 2-6 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
P. Magnarelli 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 6 8 -
O. McNally 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 6 -
D. Giger 12 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
K. Casey 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
D. Miller 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Van Nest 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jackson 34 5-16 1-5 2-3 4 3 1 1 3 13 3 -
J. Trapani 33 7-11 4-5 3-4 3 0 1 2 1 21 15 -
C. Raji 33 3-8 0-0 5-7 11 1 0 0 1 11 14 -
B. Paris 33 1-7 0-1 9-12 3 6 2 0 5 11 10 -
T. Roche 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
J. Southern 20 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
D. Elmore 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Dunn 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
E. Ravenel 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter