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2009-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Log Adjusted 89.7% 10.3% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 37 6-15 1-2 3-3 4 0 1 2 0 16 8 -
D. Miller 30 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 3 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Wall 29 10-16 1-1 4-4 1 2 6 0 7 25 11 -
D. Cousins 23 4-10 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
E. Bledsoe 23 2-6 0-0 0-2 4 4 1 0 0 4 7 -
R. Harris 21 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
D. Dodson 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 5 7 -
P. Stevenson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
D. Orton 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 2 1 1 5 -
J. Harrellson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Robinson 37 3-9 0-1 4-4 9 0 0 1 5 10 6 -
K. Walker 37 5-14 0-2 2-5 8 6 1 1 2 12 12 -
G. Edwards 36 7-10 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 3 3 16 15 -
A. Oriakhi 34 2-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 3 2 4 8 -
J. Dyson 32 5-12 1-2 6-10 5 3 1 0 5 17 9 -
D. Beverly 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Okwandu 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Trice 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter