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2009-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 2.1% 97.9% -
Bradley-Terry 8.5% 91.5% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 (3.6 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +15 (51-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Toles-Bey 32 3-16 0-5 2-2 0 1 2 0 3 8 -8 -
J. Eller 29 0-5 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
M. Marcial 25 1-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Bjegovic 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
D. Lopez 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Daniel 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
A. Flaggs 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
M. Selling 14 0-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Dickson 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Malloy 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Stigall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Johnstin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 38 5-12 2-6 4-6 5 2 1 0 4 16 8 -
N. Vucevic 38 7-11 0-0 0-0 15 3 2 1 5 14 19 -
M. Johnson 38 2-9 0-2 3-4 8 1 2 3 4 7 8 -
A. Stepheson 34 3-6 0-0 4-8 10 0 1 7 8 10 14 -
D. Smith 32 1-5 1-4 1-2 4 5 0 0 2 4 6 -
M. Simmons 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Rozitis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -

* = starter