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2009-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 33 5-13 1-5 5-9 4 1 1 0 3 16 6 -
J. Love 31 1-5 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 1 2 5 4 -
T. Holloway 29 2-9 0-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
D. Jackson 25 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Frease 22 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
M. Lyons 22 0-6 0-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. McLean 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
B. Redford 15 4-5 4-5 4-6 1 0 0 0 4 16 8 -
A. Taylor 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
J. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Walsh 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 34 1-5 0-3 6-6 2 5 0 0 1 8 9 -
C. Kelly 30 6-9 0-0 3-5 9 1 1 1 2 15 16 -
D. Sutton 30 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 3 7 5 -
J. Samuels 28 4-8 1-3 2-11 8 2 1 0 4 11 10 -
J. Pullen 24 3-11 2-7 8-12 1 3 1 0 3 16 7 -
M. Irving 19 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 8 6 -
C. Merriewether 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
J. Henriquez 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
W. Judge 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
V. Ojeleye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter