Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -9.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -1 (55-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Williams | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Warren | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Wright | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Searcy | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Perry | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Lowery | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Benson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Long | 35 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Morrison | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Pearson | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 25 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Wright | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| L. Hancock | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| I. Tate | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Foster | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter