Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Tinsley | 33 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Beal | 32 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Walker | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Taylor | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 18 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. McClellan | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Tchiengang | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Hinkle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson | 36 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Davis | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. McCamey | 32 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 15 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Paul | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Keller | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Cole | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Semrau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter