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2009-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Glasser 36 6-11 3-5 7-8 1 5 1 0 3 22 15 -
J. McMillan 33 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 4 10 -
R. Kuksiks 29 4-10 4-8 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 13 8 -
T. Abbott 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
E. Boateng 24 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 5 6 0 -
T. Lockett 22 2-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
T. Rohde 14 2-3 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Shipp 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Walker 4 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
V. Rudd 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 38 1-13 0-5 8-8 4 6 1 0 0 10 8 -
T. Haws 37 5-10 1-3 6-6 11 3 0 0 2 17 19 -
J. Emery 26 5-9 5-9 2-3 5 2 1 0 1 17 15 -
N. Hartsock 25 6-9 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
J. Tavernari 25 2-8 1-3 4-4 5 4 1 1 1 9 11 -
B. Davies 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Miles 12 2-2 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
C. Abouo 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
L. Morgan Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Loyd Jr. 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter