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2009-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 9.8% 90.2% -
Bradley-Terry 11.8% 88.2% -
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +27.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +26 (74-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. Hayes 0 - - 2-2 1 2 2 5
B. McElroy 0 4-11 2-4 3-4 4 4 3 5 13 8
K. Crosier 0 1-3 - - 2 1 2 0
D. Wood 0 3-11 2-5 - 3 1 3 5 8 -1
D. Erwin-Spencer 0 2-8 -1 5-6 1 1 2 4 9 1

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
I. Lucas 0 5-11 -3 1-2 4 1 2 11 3
C. DeGraffenreid 0 6-11 - 3-4 7 6 3 15 14
W. Rolle 0 5-5 - 1-2 5 2 2 11 15
C. Shegog 0 4-4 - 1-2 6 3 1 1 3 9 13
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 1-4 -1 2-2 6 4 5 2 4 13

* = starter