Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.6% | 1.4% | -23.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Roe | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| K. Lucas | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Allen | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Sherman | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Urbanus | 40 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Wells | 39 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Wolfinger | 27 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Dahn | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Holston | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Clark | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Streeter | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Groselle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Cherry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter