Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rybak | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Bowman | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| U. Segura | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Bishop | 23 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 22 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. White | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Sloan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Hale | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 38 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Haynes | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Faye | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| D. Williams | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| P. Dia | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 20 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| R. Clinkscales | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Harp | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Walker | 7 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
* = starter